摘要
城市综合体项目属于投资规模大、建设周期长、利益相关方众多等的工程建设项目,在开发过程中存在着较大的风险,尤其以造价风险为主,而这些不可预见和不可控的风险因素是导致项目成功与否的关键。通过法对城市综合体项目造价风险因素进行识别研究,科学地识别了城市综合体项目造价风险因素,在德尔菲法的专家调查问卷的基础上运用模糊理论对城市综合体项目造价风险因素的重要性进行分析,通过模糊理论和风险矩阵评价出造价风险等级,并通过盐城文化广场项目验证了该评价方法的有效性。
Urban complex projects involves large-scale investment,long construction period,stakeholder participation of many other construction projects. Therefore,there area huge risks in the development process,particularly in cost control due to unforeseeable and uncontrollable risk factors. In this paper,holographic Level Modeling method for the urban complex project cost studies is employed to identify risk factors. Using the Delphi method on the basis of expert questionnaire and fuzzy theory, the importance of risk factors are analyzed and evaluated. The results are verified by Phoenix Cultural Square Project
出处
《工程管理学报》
2016年第2期65-69,共5页
Journal of Engineering Management
关键词
城市综合体
造价风险
模糊理论
urban complex project
cost of risk
fuzzy theory
