国际比较视角下经济增长与碳减排的协同研究

A Study of the Collaborative Degree between Economic Growth and Carbon Reduction Targets under International Comparative Perspective

本文基于协同理论,通过构建经济增长与碳减排复合系统协同度模型探索二者的协同关系。综合1981~2013年中国、印度、英国、美国、日本的面板数据,测算了各国的经济增长与碳减排复合系统协同度并进行对比研究。结果表明：复合协同度从大到小依次是英国、美国、中国、日本、印度;就经济协同度来看,发展中国家高于发达国家;但就碳协同度来看,发达国家高于发展中国家;当前中国经济增长和碳减排复合系统的协同度处于停滞状态。

Based on the cooperative theory, this paper constructs a model of composite system of economic growth and reducing carbon emissions, based on the carbon emission data as well as data related to economic development of China, India, the United Kingdom, the United States and Japan between 1981 -2013, this paper figures out the collaborative degree of these countries. Furthermore, it compares the collaborative trends of the five-country economic growth and carbon emission reduction. Results show that during 1981 to 2013, compound synergy from the sequence is the United Kingdom and the United States, China, Japan, and India. The economic collaborative degree of developing countries is higher than developed countries, but reversed in carbon collaborative degree. China＇s economic growth and carbon composite system synergy is in a state of stagnation.