西部民族特困区农村人力资源开发减贫效应研究——以南疆三地州为例

Study on the Poverty Alleviation Effects of the Rural Human Resources Development in Western Ethnic Poor Area:A Case Study of Three Regions of Southern Xinjiang

选用1994-2013年数据,测度南疆三地州农村人力资源开发水平和减贫成效,在此基础上运用VAR模型脉冲响应和方差分解分析探究农村人力资源开发减贫效应,剖析作用机理。结论一是西部民族地区农村人力资源开发水平和减贫成效逐年递增,两者之间存在显著相关性;二是农村人力资源开发对西部民族地区减贫具有长期、显著的推动作用,但存在时滞性;三是通过教育、医疗、劳动力迁移和人口规模控制与结构调整提升农村劳动力文化、身体素质和务工技能,来推动劳动力合理流动,进而实现经济、社会健康发展,农民生活质量提升和农村生态环境改善是西部民族特困区农村人力资源开发减贫的关键路径。

Selected the data of the year 1994- 2013,measuring the rural human resource development and poverty reduction achievements,on this basis using the Impulse Response and Variance decomposition to analysis the Poverty Alleviation Effects of the Rural Human Resources Development,and Depth analysis of the mechanism. Drawing the following conclusions： First,Rural human resource development and poverty reduction achievements of Western Ethnic Poor Area increase by degrees,and there is a significant correlation between them; Second,Rural human resources development have long- term,significant promotion to Poverty Alleviation,but there is a time- delay characteristic. The third,the key way for poverty alleviation of rural human resource development is achieving health development of Economy and Society,improving the life quality of farmers and the rural ecological environment by enhancing the rural labor ’s knowledge、physical fitness and work skill,promoting the rational flow of labor with method of education,health care,labor migration and population size control and structural adjustment.