专业市场发展特性的统计数据估算

Statistical Estimates on the Development Properties of Specialized Market

本文利用现有统计数据估计了专业市场的如下发展特性:第一,以批发业务为主导功能的专业市场在中国国内流通格局中居于主导地位。第二,不同省市的商品流通对专业市场的依存度存在差异,不同省市差异化的需求模式是其根源。基于2005-2013年中国省级面板数据,我们检验了该结论中的两个命题:城镇化可降低省市商品流通对专业市场依存度,城乡人均消费支出与省市商品流通对专业市场的依存度间存在"倒U"关系。第三,不同行业商品流通对专业市场的依存度存在差异。基于2002-2008年行业面板数据的估计结果显示:行业要素密集度是引发这一差异的重要因素。

We make a statistical estimate on the following development properties of specialized market circulation system based the existing data. Firstly, the specialized market circulation system whose dominant function is wholesale is the most im- portant circulation organizational form of China＇s domestic trade system, but the importance of which is declining. Secondly, there are differences in the dependence of commodity circulation of different areas on specialized market, which rooted in the different demand pattern in different province. We test two hypothesis which support this conclusion based on panel data of provinces from 2005 to 2013, the first of which is that the urbanization can reduce the dependence of commodity circulation of different areas on specialized market, the second is that there are steady reverse U relationship between the consumption ex- penditure of urban-village resident and dependence of commodity circulation of different areas. Finally, there are differences in the dependence of commodity circulation of different industries on specialized market. Based on the panel data of industry, we found that the factor intensity of industries is an important factor responsible for the differences.