城镇化对我国省际教育收敛的影响研究--基于教育面板数据的空间计量分析

Research on the Influence of Urbanization on the Convergence of Provincial Education—Based on Spatial Econometric Analysis of Educational Panel Data

省际教育的均衡发展既有利于经济增长,也有利于缩小收入差距。本文利用我国31个省1987-2014年的教育面板数据,构建空间动态面板收敛模型来考察城镇化的教育收敛效应和增长效应。实证结果表明:我国省际教育存在绝对收敛,且城镇化和教育的空间外溢性均有利于省际教育相对差距的缩小;另外,在城镇化的教育增长效应中,存在着"低城镇化陷阱"现象;当城镇化率高于43.1%时,城镇化的教育增长效应边际递增;反之,边际递减。

The balanced development of provincial education fuels economic growth and narrows the income gap. Through analysis of provincial education panel data from 1987 to 2014,this paper constructed spatial dynamic panel convergence model to study the impact of urbanization on the eonvergence and growth of provincial education. This empirical analysis supported that provincial education existed unconditional convergence. And the convergent speed increased after controlling over urbanization variables and the educational spatial spillover effect. In addition, there existed a ＂low-level urbanization trap＂ in the process of educational growth; when the urbanization rate was higher than 43.1%, its marginal effect on educational growth increased; otherwise, decreased.