摘要
基础设施融资采用公私合营模式日益受到中国政府的重视。从发展中国家公私合营模式的经验入手,分析公私合营模式的类型、行业和地区分布特征;利用世界银行数据库,使用计数模型的零膨胀负二项估计方法,实证分析31个主要的发展中国家基础设施建设采用公私合营模式的影响因素,实证结果表明:市场需求和政府财政约束因素占主导作用,其次是政策环境因素、组织结构质量和法制化水平因素,影响较小的因素是宏观稳定性变量。
Firstly, this paper analyses the type of the PPP mode, industry distribution and regional distribution on the base of the developing countries. Secondly, using the World Bank PPI database, this article makes use of negative binomial estimation method to analyze on 31 maior developing countries data from 1996 to 2011. The empirical results show that the market demand and fiscal constraints factors plays the leading role, comparing to the policy environment, organization structure, quality and legalization level factors which play the secondary role, and macroeconomic stability has the least influence.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第5期70-76,共7页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
河北省社科联社会科学发展研究课题<河北省新型城镇化资金保障机制研究>(2015040203)
关键词
公私合营
基础设施融资
零膨胀负二项估计
public-private partnerships
infrastructure finance
negative binomial estimation
