中国区域创新差异的时空格局演变

Chinese regional innovation differences in temporal and spatial evolution

以专利授权总量为主要指标,基于省域空间单元,采用变异系数、传统与空间马尔可夫链和空间自相关性的分析方法,从时间、空间和地理空间效应的视角来探析1985—2013年中国区域创新差异的时空动态演化过程、格局与特征。研究结果表明:(1)中国区域创新差异整体上呈现继续扩大的态势,并呈现出稳定性较强的高水平和低水平趋同俱乐部。(2)区域创新类型的转移与创新发展水平的差距密切相关,区域创新水平的差距越小,发生转移的概率越大;反之亦然。(3)邻域的创新环境明显影响中国区域创新差异的演变,地理邻近效应主要发生于低水平与中低水平区域间。

By taking total patent licensing as the main indicator,based on provincial spatial unit,using the coefficient of variation,space Markov chains and spatial autocorrelation and other methods,this paper explore the regional innovation difference between evolution and dynamic characteristics in 1985- 2013 from time,space and geographical spatial effect. The results show that：（1） differences of regional innovation expand as a whole,and high- level and low- level with a high stability tend to converge;（2） the transfer of regional innovation types is closely related with the innovation level gap,and the smaller the gap between regional innovation levels,the greater the probability of transfer occurrence,and vice versa; and（ 3） the neighboring innovation environment significantly affects the evolution of China＇s regional innovation differences,but the geographic proximity effect is obvious at the low level and the low- medium level areas.