多源流视角下民族政策变迁理论分析框架研究——以台湾地区“原住民族”政策变迁为例

A Study on Analytical Framework of Ethnic Policy Change Theory in the Perspective of Multiple- streams——Taking the Policy Change of Taiwan Aborigines as an Example

多源流理论是公共政策变迁的重要理论分析框架。用修正后的多源流理论分析台湾地区"原住民族"政策的根本性变迁历程,可以发现其对民族政策的变迁有着极强的解释力。通过对这一分析过程的总结,拟构建出一个民族政策变迁的理论分析框架:民族政策变迁的实现是由各自流动的三个源流:民族问题源流、民族政策源流、民族政治源流在机会之窗打开时,在民族政策企业家的推动之下实现汇合,从而共同推动民族政策变迁的实现。

Multiple-streams theory is an important theoretical analysis framework of public policy change. The application of the revised multiple-streams theory in analyzing the fundamental changes of the policies toward Taiwan aborigines reveals that the theory has a strong explanatory power. Based on a summary of the analysis,this paper intends to construct a theoretical analysis framework for ethnic policy change,that is,ethnic policy change is realized through three independent streams： ethnic problems,ethnic policy and ethnic politics, which will be integrated under the push of ethnic policy entrepreneurs to promote the realization of ethnic policy change when the opportunity is available.