贸易便利化对中国农产品出口的影响研究--基于丝绸之路沿线国家的实证分析

A Study of the Influence Trade Facilitation had on the Export of Chinese Agricultural Products

在"一带一路"战略背景下,推动贸易便利化是促进丝绸之路经济带沿线国家贸易共同发展的重要途径,也是各国关注的焦点。本文选取2008-2013年的贸易数据,在测算58个沿线国家的贸易便利化水平的基础上,运用引力模型分析了贸易便利化程度对中国农产品出口产生的影响。基于引力模型的实证分析可知,经济带沿线贸易伙伴国的国内生产总值、人口规模、市场开放程度、是否同为中亚区域经济合作组织(CAREC)成员等是影响中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家农产品出口贸易的重要因素。

In the backdrop of ＂One Belt One Road＂, promoting trade facilitation is an important way of accelerating the development of international trade;it also attracts national attention from all related countries. This paper takes the2008- 2013 trade data, calculates the trade facilitation levels of 58 countries which belong to the Silk Road Economy Zone, and analyzes the influence that trade facilitation had on Chinese agricultural products commerce as per the gravity model of international trade. According to the conclusion of this empirical analysis, trading partner＇s GDP, population size, market opening degree, and economic organization are all significant elements for determining China＇s trade in agricultural products.