论收入分配与中等收入陷阱跨越的关系——基于库兹涅茨假说视角的分析

On the interactive relationship between the distribution of income and middle income trap——An analysis based on the perspective of Kuznets hypothesis

中国经济发展逐步进入新常态,"中等收入陷阱"不可避免地再次成为社会关注的热点。东南亚及拉美国家经济发展的历史表明,在诸多风险因素中,收入分配不均是其陷入中等收入陷阱的主要诱因。基于库兹涅茨假说视角,从"收入分配与经济增长"互动机理的分析出发,以经济发展的现实状况为背景,分析收入分配与陷阱跨越之间的内在逻辑,探索如何构建以收入分配与陷阱跨越之间的均衡互动关系为基础的理论分析构架。在此基础上,对经济新常态下我国跨越中等收入陷阱的路径选择进行分析。

With China＇s economy entering a new economic state,＂Middle Income Trap＂again becomes a hot issue.The history of economic development of Southeast Asia and Latin American countries displays that uneven distribution of income is the main reason of falling into a middle income trap.From the perspective of Kuznets hypothesis,the object of analysis is the interactive mechanism of income distribution and economic growth and with economic development reality as background,this paper analyzes the logic between the distribution of income and crossing the Middle Income Trap to explore how to build theoretical analysis framework based on a balanced interaction with the relation between income distribution and trap leap.On this basis,the choice of path and time schedule of China across the middle income trap is analysed.