浙江省农业转移人口落户小城镇意愿的影响因素

Influencing Factors of Willingness of Rural Transfer Population Settled in Small Towns in Zhejiang

为政府制定农业转移人口落户小城镇的相关政策提供参考,基于对浙江省23个县(市)级城镇411位农业转移人口的调查数据,利用交叉统计与二元Logistic回归模型,从个人基本特征、家庭社区特征、社会保障特征、心理感知特征4个方面分析影响农业转移人口落户小城镇意愿的关键因素。结果表明:性别、婚姻状况、有无技能、子女数、家乡到中心城镇的交通便利情况、家乡住房数、是否参加新型农村合作医疗、农村养老保险、城镇职工基本医疗保险和养老保险,以及对城镇生活的向往度与落户城镇的难易度对农业转移人口落户小城镇意愿有显著影响。年龄、受教育年限、家庭总收入、承包地利用状况以及城镇生活的适应度和满意度对农业转移人口落户小城镇意愿没有显著影响。

The key factors influencing willingness of rural transfer population settled in small towns were analyzed by cross statistic and binary Logistic regression models from four respects of personal basic feature,family community feature,social insurance feature and psychological cognition characteristics based on the investigation data of 411 rural transfer population from 23counties（cities）in Zhejiang to provide a reference for the related policy-making of rural transfer population settled in small towns.Results：Gender,marital status,skill,number of children,convenient transport from home to central town,number of houses in hometown,whether participating in new rural cooperative medical system and rural endowment insurance,whether participating in urban workers’ basic endowment and medical insurance,town life yearning,town life adaptability and difficulty of settled in small towns have the significant effect on willingness of rural transfer population settled in small towns.Age,education years total family income,use situation of contracted land,town life adaptability and satisfaction have no significant effect on willingness of rural transfer population settled in small towns.