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International Price Shocks Transmission: The Case of Rice in Togo

International Price Shocks Transmission: The Case of Rice in Togo
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摘要 The objective of the paper was to examine the relationship between the world rice price and the rice price in Togo using the linear and nonlinear co-integration tests. The author used the monthly prices for Togo local rice market and international market. The results show that the rice prices on the local market are integrated to international market. The elasticity of the long-term transmission is high. The threshold autoregression (TAR) model reveals an asymmetric transmission with a magnitude that varies depending on the nature of shock. Price increases in international markets are transmitted more rapidly to the local markets than price reductions. These results might be explained by the market power of traders, transport costs and government intervention.
出处 《Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology(B)》 2015年第7期441-450,共10页 农业科学与技术(B)
关键词 Asymmetric transmission price shocks TAR model. 价格上涨 国际市场 大米市场 传播 门限自回归 协整检验 政府干预 运输成本
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