我国高中阶段教育普及水平研究——基于人口变动、经济发展和国际比较的视角

A Study on the Popularization of High School Education in China——From the Perspective of Population Change,Economic Development and International Comparison

本文在分析我国当前探讨高中阶段教育普及水平的基础上,进一步从国内人口变动趋势、经济发展以及国际比较的视角,探讨了我国普及高中阶段教育所处的背景条件,并对目前和今后一段时间可能达到的普及水平给出了基本判断。我国各地高中阶段教育普及水平差异较大,2010年有8个省份已经普及,9个省份基本普及,而还有14个省份没有普及,如果按照各地发展目标来看,到2015年有18个省份达到普及水平,其余省份处于基本普及和未普及阶段。未来人口年龄结构的变动将会为普及高中阶段教育创造有利条件。相对于经济发展水平,大部分省份的高中阶段教育发展处于适中的水平,中部和西部部分地区高中阶段教育发展相对落后。从与经济发展水平相适应角度看,与世界各国的普及过程相比,我国高中阶段教育总体上正由落后转向超前发展。

This paper analyzes the background of China＇s popularization of high school education from the perspective of population fluctuation,economic development and international comparison and gives the basic judgment about the popularization level of high school education at present.The results show that there is a big difference in the level of education in high school education in China.In 2010 in China,there are 8 provinces in the popularized stage with other 9 provinces in basically popularized stage,but there are still 14 provinces in non-popularized stage.If we follow the development goals of different provinces by 2015,there are 18 provinces reaching the popularization level,the remaining provinces is in the basically popularized and non-universal stage.Population age structure changes will create favorable conditions for the popularization of high school education.Compared with the economic development,the development of high school education in most provinces is at a moderate level.Compared with the popularization of all countries in the world,the high school education in China is transforming from the backward to advanced development.