雾霾社会舆论爆发前后地方政府减排策略差异——存在舆论漠视或舆论政策效应吗?

Different Government Smog Governance Strategies in Response to Public Opinion

文章建立了包含个人、企业与政府的三部门模型,在舆论形成过程中各部门行为变化理论推演基础上,选取2009～2013年270个中国地级市样本数据,运用PSM-DID法检验各类城市舆论爆发前后工业废气排放差异,分析地区舆论政策效应。结果表明：资源型城市政府倾向于“舆论漠视”,减排策略倾向于间接性停产限产,主要原因在于城市经济发展中重污染行业依赖度大;存在舆论政策效应的城市往往处于产业结构转型阶段的发达地区,舆论政策效应表现出加快工业去污染化和产业结构转型作用。以上结论表明雾霾“积重难返”在一定程度上应归咎于我国产业结构与资源型城市转型困境。空气流域下城市减排易受重污染城市污染外溢性波及,区域大气污染联防联控作用尤为重要。

In analyzing government smog governance strategies in response to public opinion, this paper estab- lished a theoretical model including individuals, enterprises and governments and used the PSM - DID method to examine emissions differences in response to public opinion in different types of cities. The analysis shows that government smog governance strategies vary from city to city. Resource - based cities tend to disregard pub- lic opinions due to the cost. The effect of public opinion is to accelerate the cut in industrial pollution and in- dustrial transformation. Public opinion -based oversight helps build regional supervision systems, and the key is to establish a government management mechanism for public opinion.