乌克兰危机后俄罗斯社会情绪的变化

The Russian Social Mood Swing after Ukrainian Crisis

社会情绪是社会运行状况的"温度计"和"晴雨表",是社会变迁进程中具有动力倾向的核心要素,在很大程度上主导着社会舆论空间乃至国家政治议程。通过对相关舆情数据的分析,可以更客观、更全面地了解俄罗斯社会。乌克兰危机之后,俄罗斯民众对目前国家发展道路、普京的执政持有较强的认同评价,对经济发展的悲观情绪上升,反美、反西方情绪上扬。但是整体上,俄罗斯社会因为政治不公、生活水平下降等问题而发生群体性事件的可能性较小,中期社会政治稳定可以预期。这既受俄罗斯历史文化积淀下来"国民性"的深刻影响,也与乌克兰危机事件后民族主义和大国意识上扬紧密相关。

Social mood is the social 'thermometer'and 'barometer',it is also core elements with a dynamic tendency in the process of social change and it dominated the public opinion and even the national political agenda. After Ukrainian crisis happened, the Russian people approved present national development road and Putin's regime. Meanwhile,the pessimism about the economic situation,and the sentiment of anti- American,anti- Western are getting up. Actually,there is less possibility of a mass incidents in the name of resentment of political injustice and declining living standards. Social and political stability for medium- term can be expected. The'national character ', nationalism and great power consciousness incurred these changes after Ukrainian crisis.