交通运输与经济系统耦合协调的研究

Study on Coupling and Coordination between Transportation and Economic System

在分析交通运输与经济系统相互作用机制的基础上,运用系统科学理论和剪刀差方法构建交通运输与经济系统的动态耦合协调模型。以长江中游航运中心为例,对长江中游航运中心交通运输与经济系统耦合协调进行分析,研究结果表明:2003—2014年长江中游航运中心交通运输与经济系统处于协调发展阶段,经济系统发展减小了对交通运输的依赖,交通运输与经济系统变化趋势间的差异逐渐缩小。动态耦合协调模型反映了交通运输与经济系统相互作用的关系,有助于正确认识交通运输与经济系统的动态耦合规律,为交通运输与经济系统的可持续发展提供理论指导。

Based on analyzing the interaction mechanism between transportation and economic system, the dynamic coupling and coordination model between transportation and economic system is established by using system science theory and scissors method. Taking shipping center of middle reaches of Yangtze River as an example, this paper analyzes the coupling and coordination between transportation and economic system in the center, the study result shows the transportation and economic system in the center was in a coordinated development phase during 2003—2014, and the development of economic system reduced the dependence on transportation, and the difference of change trend between transportation and economic system was gradually reduced. The dynamic coupling and coordination model reflects the interactional relationship between transportation and economic system, and contributes to a correct understanding of the dynamic coupling principle of transportation and economic system, and provides theoretical guidance for sustainable development of transportation and economic system.