县域中小学学位数需求预测及其布点规划研究

Study on students' quantity demands prediction and layout planning of middle and primary school in county filed

在河南省宝丰县现状人口数据和中小学具体学位数据缺失的情况下,提出"三预测一体验"的预测方法,得出规划期末中小学的学位数,并运用"上—中—下线"的预测方法对其需求进行预测,得到了需新建的中小学数量,并作了布点规划,以优化教育资源配置,提高办学质量。

Under the Baofeng county population data in Henan province and specific middle and primary school studentsJ quantity shortage conditions,puts foward the prediction method of “three-prediction and one-inspection” , obtains primaiy and middle school students,qu加the planning period, predicts its demands by applying the prediction method of “up-middle-low line” , draws primary and middle school quantityneeding built, makes a layout planning, with a view to optimize teaching resources distribution and to improve school running quality as well.