光伏发电系统功率预测方法综述

Review of Power Forecast Methods for Photovoltaic Generating System

提高功率预测水平是光伏发电系统并网的关键技术问题,对提高光伏发电开发利用、保证电网安全运行有重要意义。对光伏发电系统的功率预测方法进行了分析与总结,根据光伏发电的应用及需求,归纳了各类光伏发电系统功率预测方法的优点及不足,希望对我国光伏发电预测方法的发展起到一定的促进和推动作用。

Enhancing the power prediction accuracy is one of the key technique problems of grid-connectedphotovoltaic generating system,which is not only crucial for the security of power grid,but also for solar photovoltaicutilization. The present forecasting techniques for photovoltaic generating system were comprehensively discussed andanalyzed. The advantages and deficiencies of present forecasting techniques were also summed up according todifferent kinds of demand and application. Hope that it can play a positive role in advancing and promoting thedevelopment of domestic forecasting techniques for photovoltaic generating system.