信息化与新型城镇化的互动效应与路径

Interactive effects and paths between informatization and new urbanization

基于静态面板数据门限回归模型,利用我国2007-2013年30个省级行政区的面板数据对信息化和新型城镇之间的关系进行了实证分析,探讨了我国不同地区间信息化与新型城镇化进程之间的互动效应差异,剖析了在不同经济发展水平区域间两者的互动作用路径。结果显示:随着经济发展水平的提高,信息化对新型城镇化的带动效应呈现出"倒U型"结构;新型城镇化对信息化的推动效应呈现出逐渐减弱的趋势;总体上,信息化对新型城镇化的带动效应在其互动进程中起着主导作用;信息化与新型城镇化互动的具体作用路径随经济发展水平的不同而不同。

Based on static panel data threshold regres- sion model, this essay makes an empirical research to discuss the relationship of informatization and new - type urbanization by using the panel data of 30 provinces in China during 2007 - 2013 ; then it explores the difference of interactive effect which is between informatization and new - type urbanization in different regions of China, and further analyzes the interaction path be- tween the two in different economic development levels. The re- suhs show that with the improvement of economic development level, the driving - effect informatization to new - type urbaniza- tion shows an ＇ inverted U - shaped＇ structure, while the pro- pulsive effect of new - type urbanization on informatization pres- ents a weaken trend. Overall, the driving - effect of informatiza- tion on new urbanization plays a dominant role in the process of their interaction, and in different economic development level, the interactive path of the informatization and the new - type ur- banization is also different.