全球制造业服务化对行业绩效与全要素生产率的影响——基于国际投入产出数据的实证分析

On the Effects of Global Manufacturing Industry Servicizing on Industry Performance and Total Factor Productivity: An Empirical Analysis Base on the World Input-Output Data

通过世界主要制造业国家的投入产出表数据,实证分析服务化对制造业的产业绩效与生产率变化的影响,研究发现:制造业"服务化"主要表现为"双刃剑"式中性影响,行业如果通过产业调整能实现增长,那么在服务化的背景下行业的绩效与全要素生产率(TFP)就会自发出现"自我促进"的良性循环发展,反之服务化也会放大对行业负面的影响,出现所谓的"服务化困境"。因此工业化与服务业应保持相对较为均衡的发展,不应当在实体产业不完善的条件下盲目发展相关服务业。

Based on the input-output data of world＇s leading manufacturing countries, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the influence of manufacturing industry servicizing on the changes of industry performance and total product productivity（TFP） of the manufacturing industry. The findings show that the manufacturing industry＂servicizing＂is mainly manifested as a neutral impact of＂double-edged sword＂type. If the industry can realize its growth through industrial adjustment, the industry performance and TFP in the context of servicizing will have a spontaneous development in＂self promoting＂virtuous circle; conversely, servicizing will also amplify its negative impact on the industry, a so-called ＂servicizing paradox＂ will come into being. Therefore, a relatively balanced development should be maintained between industrialization and the service industry, it is not proper to develop the related service industry blindly under the imperfect conditions of the industrial entities.