劳动力流动、房价上涨与城市经济收敛——长三角的实证分析

Labor Mobility,Housing Prices and Urban Economic Convergence——Evidence from Cities in Yangtze River Delta

分别以2000—2013年长三角42个地级城市数据,以及2000年和2010年的人口普查数据为样本,采用面板数据模型固定效应估计方法,考察长三角城市房价上涨对于区域经济增长收敛性的影响,旨在从区域房价差异的视角为长三角地区经济增长差距作出解释。研究发现,房价快速上涨的确在一定程度上阻碍了长三角地区经济收敛,即影响了地区经济差距逐步缩小的趋势,高房价抑制了流动人口的购房意愿。因此,从政策层面来说,住房政策应关注流动人口的住房问题。

This paper aims to explain gaps in economic development in Yangtze River Delta from the perspective of housing price fluctuation of different cities. Using datas of 42 cities from 2000 to 2013 and the Census Data of 2000 and 2010 in Yangtze River Delta,The author finds that rising housing prices have hindered economic convergence to some extent,with the method of static panel fixed effect estimation. The conclusion is that rising housing prices may affect the regional economic gap＇s gradually narrowing trend and inhibit the the floating population from buying houses. Therefore,from a policy perspective,housing policies should be focused on housing availability for the floating population.