产业结构升级、城镇化水平与经济增长-来自中部地区的经验证据

Industrial Structure Optimization,Urbanization and Economic Growth——Empirical Evidence from the Central Region

本文选取2000-2014年中部地区数据为研究样本,采用静态面板数据模型,考察了中部地区经济增长、产业结构与城镇化之间的互动关系。研究结果表明：经济发展水平与产业结构升级对中部地区城镇化均有显著的正向影响;产业结构与经济增长的交互项对城镇化存在阻碍作用;工业化对中部地区城镇化作用不显著,工业化滞后于城镇化发展;＂人口城镇化＂是中部地区城镇化发展的重要动因之一。最后,基于已有研究结论提出深化城镇化发展的若干政策建议。

This paper selects 2000-2014 data from central region as research sample,using static panel data model to study the influence of economic growth,industrial structure on central region urbanization. The results show that： the level of economic development and industrial structure upgrading has a significant positive effect on central region urbanization; the interaction term of industrial structure and economic growth has a negative effect on urbanization; the effect of industrialization on urbanization is not significant,industrialization lags behind urbanization; ＂Population Urbanization＂ is an important reason of central region urbanization development. Finally,some policies and recommendations of deeping the development of urbanization have been put forward based on research.