摘要
选取中国2004~2015年银行家信心指数、企业家信心指数、GDP同比增长率这三个指标的季度数据作为样本,对银行家信心、企业家信心和中国宏观经济波动之间相互作用的关系进行了实证研究,研究结果表明,三个变量之间的影响具有非对称性,正向的银行家和企业家信心冲击均可以促进经济发展;市场信心的调整具有刚性特征,主要依靠自身调节且持续时间较长;银行家信心与企业家信心相比对经济增长影响反应滞后,影响程度更小,持续时间更短。
By chosing Quarterly Data of banker confidence index,the entrepreneur confidence index,and the year-on-year rate of GDP growth in China from 2004 to 2015as samples.For the interaction of the relationship between banker confidence,entrepreneur confidence and macroeconomic volatility of China was analyzed.Result shows that the impact of the three variables is non-symmetric,positive confidence shock from bankers and entrepreneurs can promote economic development.The adjustment of market confidence which is durative has rigid characteristics,and mainly rely on self-regulation.The banker confidence has more laggard,smaller effects and shorter duration comparing with the entrepreneur confidence.
出处
《青岛大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2016年第2期100-104,109,共6页
Journal of Qingdao University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
青岛市博士后应用研究项目(批准号:2015174)资助
关键词
银行家信心
企业家信心
经济波动
banker confidence
entrepreneur confidence
macroeconomic volatility
