基于优先级的物流量组合预测方法

目前物流量组合预测大多是普通定常权重组合预测,预测的精度不高。因此,采用基于优先级的组合预测方法,通过对比基本预测方法的预测精度来赋予相应的优先级和权重,最后用实例数据进行验证。结果表明,基于优先级的物流量组合预测法有更高的预测精度,可以作为一种物流量预测的有效方法。

At present, most of the combination forecasting of logistics quantity is the constant weight forecasting, but the accuracy is not high. Therefore, using the combination forecast method based on priority, through comparing the prediction accuracy of each basic prediction methods to give them a appropriate priority and weight, then use a case to test. The results show that the logistics quantity forecasting method based on priority is more accurate, which can be used as an effective method for the logistics quantity prediction.