摘要
人类在判断和决策时总会出现一系列的错误,然而,在违反直觉的情形下,错误偏见本身代表了对决策判断问题的自适应性解决办法。本文描述错误偏见在自适应性决策过程中的逻辑关系,通过对错误管理理论在自适应性决策中的运用,解释了人们为什么愿意与陌生人合作的决策过程。
A serial of errors occur in the human judgment and decision-making. Counter- intuitively, these biases, however, represent adaptive solutions to the decision-making problems. In this paper,we systemically outline the logical relationship in the self-adaptive decision-making state,through the application of error management theory in the self-adaptive decision-making. Finally this claim strongly suggests that why humans prefer to cooperate with strangers.
出处
《管理观察》
2016年第18期52-55,58,共5页
Management Observer
关键词
错误管理理论
自适应决策
错误肯定
错误否定
Error management theory
The decision-making of self-adaptive
False-positive
False-negative
