BT项目合同风险分担研究

Research on allocation of contract risk in BT projects

合理的风险分担有利于促进BT项目双方的合作,保证BT项目的顺利实施。首先,探讨了Shapley值是否可应用在BT项目共担风险分担中,结论为合适。其次,遵循风险分担的基本原则,将影响BT项目风险分担的五个因素:风险成因、承担风险能力、参与项目程度及收益、控制风险能力及经济地位与修正的Shapley值进行结合,构建了BT项目风险分担模型,以期在BT发起人和主办人之间进行合理的风险分担。最后,运用构建的风险分担模型分析了某围海造陆BT项目的合同风险,并与合同风险分担结果进行了比较,得出的结论是合同风险分担基本合理,但不可抗力风险可适当让BT主办人承担工程损失风险,通货膨胀引起的材料价格上涨风险,应加大BT主办人承担比例。

Proper risk allocation can promote the cooperation of BT sponsor and BT organizer, and guarantee the implementation of BT projects. Firstly, Shapley value being able to allocate risk of BT projects is discussed,and the conclusion is fitting. Secondly, according to the basic principles of risk allocation, a model for risk allocation in BT projects is set up using the revised Shapley value, combined the Shapley value with the five influence factors of risk allocation, i. e. risk causes, the ability to assume risk, participation and benefits of the project, the ability to control risk and economic status, and proper risk allocation between BT sponsor and BT organizer is expected. Finally, risk allocation of a Land Reclamation BT Project is analyzed by the model, and is compared with the contract risk analysis. The conclusion is that the contract risk allocation is basically proper, but a part of engineering risk of the force majeure risk should allocated to the BT organizer, and the risk of material price flowing causing by inflation should be increase the allocation proportion of the BT organizer.