货币政策调整、经济发展与税收收入的实证研究——以福州市为例

An empirical study of monetary policy adjustment,economic growth and tax revenue— Taking Fuzhou City as an example

使用脉冲响应函数对货币政策调整、经济增长和税收收入三者之间的关系进行分析,发现货币政策的调整对福州市经济和税收的影响都存在滞后性,而货币供应量对福州市GDP增长的作用不明显,对税收收入的促进作用存在10个月的滞后期;而福州市GDP与税收收入之间的相互关系仅在短期内显著,长期影响不显著。最后针对研究结果提出了对策建议。

Impulse response function is applied to investigate the relationship among monetary policy adjustment,economic growth and tax revenue. It has been discovered that the effect of monetary policy adjustment on economy and tax revenue in Fuzhou is lag,and influence of the money supply on GDP increasing is insignificant. The money supply has a promotion effect on tax revenue,but there are 10 months of stagnation. The relationship between GDP and tax revenue is only significant in the short term but not in the long-term in Fuzhou. The countermeasures are proposed in view of the results.