河南省耕地数量变化及其驱动力分析

Analysis on the Change of Cultivated Land Quantity and Its Driving Forces in Henan

本文以河南省耕地数量作为研究对象,根据相关的基础数据,分析了河南省耕地数量变化的特征。结果表明,河南省耕地资源数量变化1998年以后逐渐增加,并于2004年开始逐渐趋于稳定,然后随着人口的持续增加和城市化的快速发展,耕地资源数量必然有所减少,人均耕地面积更为紧张。本文运用数理统计的方法,在对河南省耕地数量变化驱动力分析的基础上,针对目前及今后一段时期河南省人地矛盾突出的实际,提出了合理保护耕地的相关对策。

This paper takes the quantity of cultivated land in Henan as the research object, and according to the relevant basic data, analyzes the characteristics of the change of the quantity of cultivated land in Henan. The results showed that the quantitative change of cultivated land resources in Henan gradually increased after 1998, and from 2004 gradually began to stabilize, while with the rapid development of the continuous increase of population and urbanization, the quantity of cultivated land must be reduced, and per capita area of cultivated farmland more tense. Using the method of mathematical statistics, on the basis of the analysis of driving force about changes in the quantity of cultivated land in Henan, this paper in view of outstanding contradiction between man and land during the current and future period in Henan province, puts forward the countermeasures to protect the cultivated land reasonably.