基于VAR模型的湖北省服务业发展与城镇化进程相关关系研究

Study on the correlation of service industry development and urbanization in Hubei province based on VAR model

服务业发展和城镇化进程之间是相互影响,相互促进的。利用VAR模型对湖北省服务业就业、服务业增加值、城镇化进程三者之间的相关关系进行了实证研究,结果发现,湖北省服务业增加值的增加带动了城镇化进程,而且城镇化进程的发展又带动了服务业就业水平的增加。但是,城镇化进程的加快并没有带动湖北省服务业增加值的提升,服务业就业水平的提高并没有带动城镇化进程的加快。基于研究结果,文章最后提出了相应的对策建议。

Service industry development and urbanization are correlated. The paper uses VAR model to study the correlation of service employment,service added value and urbanization in Hubei Province. The results show that service added value promotes the process of urbanization. Urbanization promotes service industry ＇s employment.However the urbanization does not increase service added value. Service industry＇s employment does not promote urbanization. Finally the paper puts forward some suggestions.