中国原木进口与国际原木非法贸易问题的若干思考

Study on China's Timber Imports and International Timber Illegal Trading

在分析认识中国木材供需矛盾问题的基础上,对中国的原木进口和国际非法采伐加剧原木非法贸易之间的关系进行了探讨。中国原木进口依存度高,非法原木进口防范程度低,缺乏应有的进口门槛,行业自律机制不健全,给非法原木贸易提供了机会。为进一步探讨国际反原木非法贸易对中国原木进口需求的影响,文章采用差异化进口需求模型方法,分析了国际打击原木非法贸易背景下中国原木进口需求的相关数量变化关系。研究结果表明,中国的原木进口正在朝着理性的方向进展,来自美国、新西兰的原木进口比重日益增加而来自非法原木高危国的原木进口日益减少。基于研究提出中国应提高自身的生产能力以及完善合法认证体系,降低原木的进口依赖,同时发挥大国作用,一起推动非法原木高危国的木材合法认证体系的发展。

Based on the analysis of China＇s timber supply and demand,recognized that the contradiction of supply shortage and high import dependence in recent years,this paper discussed the relationship between China＇s timber imports and international illicit trade in illegal logging. The high dependence of China＇s log imports,poor timber imports firewall system,the absent of timber import threshold and imperfect industry self-regulatory mechanism,provides an opportunity for illegal timber trade. To study it further,this paper analyzed China＇s log import demand by using of variant import demand model under the condition of international anti illegal trade. The result shows that China＇s timber import is becoming more reasonable. The proportion of timber import from U. S. and New Zealand is increasing,while that from illegal timber trade zone is decreasing. Based on the study,we suggest that China should improve the productivity of timber domestically and promote the development of a sound timber verify system. At the same time,China should take the responsibility of great power by helping the development of a sound timber verify system in poor countries.