人均医疗卫生投入非线性增长分析

Analysis on the Non-liner Growth of Per Capita Health Expenditure

目的:分析不同经济发展水平下,我国医疗卫生投入与经济增长之间的非线性关系。方法:建立部分线性面板固定效应模型,采用省级面板数据分析不同经济发展水平下,人均GDP上升对人均医疗保健支出边际影响的变动。结果:伴随经济增长,人均医疗保健支出呈现S型上升趋势。经济发展初期,人均医疗保健支出快速上升,之后进入缓慢上升阶段,直至人均GDP上升至较高水平之后,人均医疗保健支出重新进入快速上升时期。结论:稳步提升医疗卫生投入总量的同时,应统筹区域医疗卫生投入,加快经济欠发达地区医疗卫生事业发展。

Objective： To analyze the non-linear relationship between China＇s health care expenditure and economic growth under different levels of economic development. Methods： To build fixed effect model for partially linear model, the provincial panel data was applied to analyze the impacts of per capita GDP on the per capita marginal spending of health care under different levels of economic development. Results： With the growth of economies, per capita health eare expenditure showed S type rising trend. During the the early period of economic development, per capita expenditure of health care quickly increased, then entered into a slowly rising stage, till the per capita GDP stepped into a higher level, the per capita spending of health care obtained a rapid rise again. Conclusion： While gradually promoting the total amount of health care input, it needed to arrange regional health care input and speed up the health care industry＂ development in underdeveloped regions.