鄱阳湖生态经济区经济与环境协同性的时空演化分析

The Space-Time Evolution of Economic and Environmental Collaborative Analysis of the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone

构建了鄱阳湖生态经济区经济与环境协同发展的序参量评价指标体系,建立协同演化测度模型评价经济系统与环境系统在共生模式下的协同发展程度,并以2009—2012年为评价期研究经济与环境的动态耦合问题.研究结果显示:鄱阳湖生态经济区前两年发展势头较好,2011年起协同发展度有所下滑;综合协同水平在空间上呈现出分布不均的状况;大部分地区处于经济滞后型,少数地区为环境滞后型,经济滞后于环境的地区,应承接产业转移与优化资源配置,而环境滞后于经济的地区,应将经济发展阈值控制在环境阈值内,适时调控资源供需策略.

The order parameters evaluation index system of coordinated development of economy and environment of Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone are built. A collaborative evolution measurement model assessment of economic systems and environmental systems for the collaborative development of the symbiosis mode is set up,and the evaluation of economic and environmental issues for the dynamic coupling are studied from 2009 to 2012. Research results display that the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone show a better development momentum at the first two years,but it fell from 2011,the integrated collaborative level render out uneven distribution in space,most area is the economic lagging type,minority area is environment lagging type,for the area of economic lag behind environment,it should undertake industry transfer and optimize resources configuration,and for the area of environment lag behind economic,the economic development should be controlled within the threshold of the environment,and the area should timely regulating resources supply and demand strategy.