四川省农民工市民化成本模型构建及测算

The Cost Calculation of Urbanization of Migrant Workers and Sharing Mechanism Research in Sichuan Province

【目的】构建农民工市民化成本模型,并测算四川省农民工市民化成本,为更好地推进农民工市民化进程和城市化提供科学依据。【方法】通过指数平滑法并结合相关研究成果,对农民工市民化的私人成本和公共成本进行具体细致测算,预测未来农民工市民化的成本。【结果】通过模型测算,得出2014年四川省农民工市民化人均成本68 057.27元。【结论】针对高昂的人均市民化成本,提出了四川省农民工市民化的成本分担机制和资金的筹集渠道。

[Objective] Sichuan province as a major economy province in the west of China, the urban and rural dual structure is obvious, but the main issues of rural migrant workers have been stood out, the goal of this paper is to promote the process of urbanization of rural migrant workers and provide scientific basis for urbanization. [Method] Based on the exponential smoothing method and combining the related research results, costing specific detailed calculations for the citizenization of migrant workers in the private and public, predicting the cost of the citizenization of migrant workers in the future. [Result] Based on the model calculation, The result shows that the per capita cost of citizenization of migrant workers in Sichuan in 2014 is RMB 68 057.27. [Conclusion] In view of the high of per capita cost citizenization, it is necessary to put forward the cost sharing mechanism and channels of raising funds for the citizenization of migrant workers in Sichuan province.