中国旅游IA-ICOR-EG的测度及其关系研究

Analysis on Relationship and Measure of Tourism Investment Agglomeration,Investment Efficiency and the Regional Tourism Economic Gap in China

构建旅游投资集聚(IA)、投资效率(ICOR)和旅游经济差距(EG)理论模型,采用J-B熵指数、增量资本产出比、变异系数和联立方程模型测定和检验了三者的发展态势及其之间的关系。结果显示,旅游投资总集聚程度呈上升趋势,区域内高投资集聚度是主推力。旅游经济差距呈收敛态势,其中西部地区差距是造成全国总体差距的重要原因。旅游投资效率处于稳步提升中,且东中部地区高于西部地区。旅游投资集聚、投资效率与旅游经济差距具有明显的地区非均衡性,旅游投资集聚与投资效率还未形成良性互动关系。

The paper used the entropy index of ＂J - B＂, capital output ratio and variation coefficient to measure the tourism in- vestment agglomeration, investment efficiency and the tourism economic gap. Furthermore, we also used two-stage least squares method to study the relationship between the tourism investment agglomeration, investment efficiency and the tourism economic gap. The results of this study were as follows： Firstly, it was showed that the level of tourism investment total ag- glomeration was raised in China. This clearly indicated that tourism investment total agglomeration was effected by the region of investment agglomeration high degree. Secondly, the trend of tourism economic gap was convergence. Among them, the gap of the national tourism economy was seriously caused by the western region gap. Thirdly, tourism investment efficiency was rising steadily and the tourism investment efficiency of the east and central region were higher than the western region. More- over, the paper found that there was difference relationship between the investment agglomeration and the investment efficien- cy and the regional gap of tourism economy. But the investment efficiency had not positive effect on the regional gap of tour- ism economic each other.