高铁对民航业影响的地区差异分析

Regional Difference Analysis About the Influence of the High- speed Rail on the Civil Aviation

在分析现有文献的基础上,提出高铁对民航业影响的地区差异研究课题,确定并分析影响消费者选择高铁或民航的主要因素及其影响程度,阐述高铁对民航业影响地区差异研究的理论框架,构建非集计模型并选择合适的指标进行实证计量分析,选取国内代表性线路,计算消费者选择不同出行方式的概率,并对其结果做出了解释。

Based on the analysis of the existing literature, this article studies the influence of high-speed rail on the civil aviation in different regions. Firstly, it analyses the main factors that affect consumers＇ choice of high-speed rail and civil aviation, and the level of impact. Then it describes the theoretical framework of the study, makes an empirical econometrical analysis using disaggregate model, and chooses typical lines in China to calculate the specific probability of costumers＇ different trip mode. Finally, it makes explanations on the result.