曲靖市农业产业结构的灰色关联度分析

Grey Correlation Degree Analysis of Agriculture Industry Structure of Qujing

调整农业产业结构,促进产业融合发展,是"十三五"期间农村经济改革的一项重要内容。本研究采用灰色关联分析法对曲靖市2006—2013年农业内部各产业产值与农业总产值之间的关联性进行分析,结果表明:曲靖市农业内部各产业产值与农业生产总值的灰关联度大小的排序为:林业>农林牧渔服务业>种植业>牧业>渔业,即林业、农林牧渔服务业占农业总产值比重较小,但与农业总产值关联度较大;种植业、牧业占农业总产值比重较大,但与农业总产值的关联度较小;渔业在农业总产值中的比重和关联度均较小。结合曲靖市实际,提出推进农业产业结构调整,发展优势和特色产业的对策建议。

Adjusting the structure of agricultural industry and promoting the development of industrial convergence is an important content of village economic reform during the 13thfive-year plan. In this thesis,it uses the method of grey correlative analysis to analyze the correlation between the industrial output value and gross output value of agriculture from 2006 to 2013 of Qujing. The results show that the sorting of grey relative theory is forestry,services in support of farming,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery,farming,animal husbandry,fishery. It implies that forestry and services in support of farming,forestry,animal husbandry and fisher make up a smaller part,but they have a great gray correlation degree with the total of agricultural output value. Farming and animal husbandry have a high proportion,while the Grey Relational Degree is relatively weaker. The proportion and gray correlation degree of fishery are smaller. Therefore,it integrates the practice of Qujing and puts forward suggestion that promoting industry structure adjustment in agriculture and developing advantage industries.