城镇化与工业化协调发展:现实基础与水平测度

The Coordinated Development between China's Urbanization and Industrialization: Realistic Foundation and Level Measurement

培育我国内需的突破口在于扩大居民的消费需求,由于居民"吃、穿、用"方面的绝大多数产品来源于工业生产,而"住、行、学"方面的主要产品只能通过城镇化建设来实现,因此促进城镇化与工业化协调发展是培育我国内需的重要途径。城镇化与工业化协调发展包含工业化促进城镇化发展和城镇化带动工业化发展两个层面,本文采用非参数估计方法测算得出,2005-2012年我国各省份工业化促进城镇化发展水平和城镇化带动工业化发展水平均呈现出不断上升的趋势,但由于城镇化带动工业化发展水平的提升速度小于工业化促进城镇化发展水平的提升速度,导致二者之间的差距不断扩大,且在省际间呈现出较大的差异性。本文的研究结论对于推动城镇化与工业化协调发展具有一定的启示意义。

The key point of developing China＇s domestic consumer market was expanding the consumption demand of residents. By reason of residents＇ consumption demand about eat,wear and other consumer goods can be provided by industrialization and residents＇ consumption demand about housing,transportation and education can be provided by urbanization,so promoting the coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization will be the important way to cultivate China ＇ s domestic consumer market. The coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization includes both industrialization promoting urbanization and urbanization promoting industrialization. The levels of the two coordinated relationships were both showing a rising trend from 2005 to 2012,but because of the difference between their rising speed,the gap between them had been expanded,and the relationships showed a significant regional differences. Our paper＇s results will generate a positive effect in promoting the coordinated development between China＇s urbanization and industrialization.