摘要
从建筑业经济增长与环境污染双向影响关系视角,以北京1994~2014年数据为样本,运用ADF检验和格兰杰因果分析方法,对二氧化硫、烟粉尘等污染物排放量和建筑业经济增长的长期演变关系进行检验,并构建VAR模型,通过脉冲响应分析和方差分解进行实证研究。结果表明,建筑业经济增长与二氧化硫排放之间的相互促进作用显著,而烟粉尘排放量的增加则抑制建筑业的经济增长。
From the two-way perspective relationship between the economic growth and environmental pollution of construction industry,takes the data of Beijing in 1994-2014 as the sample,uses ADF test and granger causality analysis to test the long-term evolution relationship between dust and sulfur dioxide emissions of construction and economic growth,and establishes a VAR model,makes an empirical research with generalized impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis. The results show that the mutual promotion between economic growth and sulfur dioxide emissions of construction are more significant,while the increase of dust emissions inhibits the economic growth.
出处
《建筑经济》
2016年第7期26-29,共4页
Construction Economy
基金
教育部人文社科青年基金项目(15YJC630101)
北京市教委社科计划面上项目资助(SM201510009002)
关键词
建筑业
经济增长
环境污染
VAR模型
construction industry
economic growth
environmental pollution
VAR model
