城市交通综合发展及供需关系测算模型研究

Calculation Model of Urban Traffic Integrated Development and the Relationship Between Supply and Demand

如何科学认识和把握城市交通发展状况至关重要,本文从城市交通综合发展状况和交通供需发展状况两个方面进行研究探讨,首先,考虑了城市交通基础设施、机动化、公共交通、交通秩序和交通事故等指标,构建了城市交通综合发展指数模型,用以从城市交通供需情况、交通秩序程度和交通安全状况等方面定量化衡量城市交通发展水平。其次,选取了城市常住人口、城市汽车保有量作为城市交通需求指标,城市建成区面积、道路里程、公共汽电车数量和轨道交通里程作为城市交通供给指标,构建了城市交通供需发展指数模型,用以从城市交通供需平衡角度定量衡量城市交通供需发展关系。最后,选取我国36个大城市为研究对象,对城市交通综合发展指数和交通供需发展指数进行了测算分析。

How to scientifically recognize and grasp the development of urban transportation is very important, the state of the urban traffic comprehensive development and the supply and demand of urban traffic development is studied in this paper. Firstly, urban traffic comprehensive development index model is established, considering the transportation infrastructure, motorization, public transport, traffic order, traffic accidents and other indicators. That is used for measuring the characterization of the development level of urban traffic, from the aspects of supply and demand of traffic, traffic order and the traffic safety status. Second, the supply and demand of urban traffic development index model is established, selecting urban resident population, car ownership as indicators of urban traffic demand, urban built-up area, mileage of urban roads, bus quantity and rail traffic mileage as indicators of urban traffic supply. Finally, 36 Chinese cities are selected as the research object, urban traffic comprehensive development index and traffic supply and demand development index are calculated, and that is analyzed.