塞尔维亚转型困境及前景

The Difficulties and Prospect of Serbian Transition

塞尔维亚经历了南联盟的解体和长年战争,后因科索沃问题遭北约轰炸,在欧洲长期处于孤立状态,相对于中东欧其他国家,其转型起步较晚,成效有限,步履维艰。塞尔维亚转型的复杂性和艰巨性源于其独特的历史、地理和社会发展状况等因素,其既要完成政治经济的双重转型,还要解决民族国家的建构与欧盟的认同问题,最终实现国家重建和民族复兴,这注定其转型历程势必一波三折。塞转型面临的是困局而非"死局",其未来发展不会一帆风顺,但亦非一片灰暗,前景可期。

Serbia has passed through the disintegration of Yugoslavia and a severe civil war,and then was bombed by NATO due to Kosovo issue,thus being isolated in Europe for a long time.Compared to other Central and Eastern European Countries,Serbia started the transition quite late,gained limited results andwas trapped in difficulties.The complexity and difficulty of Serbian transition process are rooted in its unique historical experience,geographical situation and social development.It's a 'Hasty March'with multiple tasks to fulfill.Aiming at state rebuilding and national rejuvenation,it not only has to complete the double-transition in the economic and political fields,but also to deal with the issues of both national construction and European Union's identity,which is destined to experience twists and turns.However,what the Serbian transition faces is just a deadlock instead of a dead end.Although the process of Serbian transition would not go smoothly all the way,neither would it be completely gloomy,it could have a relative bright future.