反洗钱制度“象征性采纳”现象的原因分析——基于转型国家的实证研究

Analysis on the Causes of the "Symbolic Adoption" in the Anti-Money Laundering Regimes

反洗钱制度在全球迅速扩散,但由于执行成本较高,转型国家可能采纳反洗钱制度而不执行。文章认为转型国家采纳反洗钱制度的动机会影响反洗钱制度的有效性,构建了政策扩散理论模型,提出假说:政策扩散动机中的胁迫机制、竞争机制、模仿机制都可能导致反洗钱制度的"象征性采纳"现象,而学习机制不会导致这种现象;文章应用了空间滞后模型的实证方法验证了该假说。

The anti-money laundering regimes( AML) spread across the world rapidly. However,due to the high cost of implementation,transitional countries may adopt the AML without implementing. This paper considers that the motivation of transition countries adopting AML would affect the effectiveness of AML. By constructing the policy diffusion theory model,this paper puts forward a series of hypotheses: in policy diffusion theory,the mechanisms of coercion,competition and imitation may lead to ' Symbolic Adoption' of AML,but the mechanism of learning may not. In this paper,these hypotheses are empirically examined by spatial lag model.