FDI对物流产业竞争力的影响研究

Impact of FDI on industrial competitiveness of logistics

为研究中国FDI与物流产业竞争力之间相互关系,在1997-2014年FDI和物流产业统计数据的基础上,运用协整检验和Granger因果检验展开定量分析。研究认为,物流产业FDI与物流产业竞争力存在长期负向相关关系,而非物流产业FDI与物流产业竞争力存在长期正向相关关系;物流产业竞争力是导致物流产业FDI的Granger原因,反之不成立,非物流产业FDI是导致物流产业竞争力变动的Granger原因,反之亦不成立;研究结果表明,FDI通过技术路径与劳动资本密集度路径对物流产业竞争力构成正向影响,通过资本路径以及行业就业人员占比路径对物流产业竞争力提升构成阻碍。

To study the relation between China＇s FDI and the competitiveness of logistics industrial development,this paper performed quantitative analysis by use of co-integration test and Granger causality test on the basis of statistical data of FDI and logistics industry from 1997 to 2014. The results show that,there is a negative relationship between FDI in logistics industry and logistics industrial competitiveness while there exists a positive relationship between FDI of other industries and logistics industrial competitiveness. Granger causality test shows that the FDI in other industries is the cause of the development of the logistics industry,while the development of the logistics industrial competitiveness is the cause of the logistics industrial FDI flows. Furthermore,the impact path of FDI is extracted like this,FDI promotes logistics industrial competitiveness through technological path and labor capital intensity path,and hinders the improvement of logistics industrial competitiveness through capital path and employment proportion path.