吉林省能源消耗与经济增长的关系研究

Research on the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Jilin Province

经济的发展离不开对能源的消耗,因此研究经济发展与能源消耗的关系,能够揭示经济发展质量的高低。根据相关统计年鉴对吉林省各年的能源消耗总量、煤炭消耗量、石油消耗量、天然气消耗量与经济发展的关系的研究表明,1980～2014年吉林省GDP、煤炭、石油、天然气及能源消耗总量总体上呈上升趋势。而1980～2014年,吉林省能源消耗总量、煤炭消耗量与GDP的弹性脱钩指数,大部分年份处于弱脱钩状态。这说明,一方面,吉林省能源消耗结构中煤炭所占比重过高,直接影响吉林省能源消耗总量与GDP的弹性脱钩指数;另一方面,吉林省经济发展对能源的需求较高的趋势短时间还无法改变。

Economic development is inseparable from energy consumption. The research on the relation between energy consumption and economic development will reveal the quality of economic development. According to the relevant statistical yearbook,a study is conducted in this paper to analyze the relation of the total amount of annual energy consumption,coal consumption,oil consumption,natural gas consumption and economic development in Jilin Province. The result suggests that the total amount of the consumption of coal,oil,natural gas and energy and GDP showed a rising trend from 1980 to 2014. From 1980 to 2014,the elastic decoupling index of the total amount of energy consumption,coal consumption and GDP in Jilin Province was in a weak decoupling state in most of these years. This indicates that on the one hand,the coal consumption accounts for a larger proportion in energy consumption,which directly influences the elastic decoupling index of the total amount of energy consumption and GDP of Jilin Province. On the other hand,the trend of the greater demand for energy in the development of economy cannot be reversed in a short period of time.