“一带一路”视域下东盟经贸市场发展形势探究

Exploration on Evolving Development of ASEAN Economic and Trade Market under the vision of“the Belt and Road”

东盟是"一带一路"建设的重点和优先地区,也是对中国企业最具吸引力的投资目的地之一。本文基于投资者的视角,利用PEST分析框架对东盟经贸市场进行较为详尽的探讨后发现:东盟政治总体保持稳定但政府效率差强人意有待提高;虽有优惠性的与贸易投资有关的政策和法律但有些国家存在严格管制;经济发展水平、产业结构以及消费者偏好、宗族与族群、科技水平的多样性特征明显;对外贸易稳中有升;人口素质逐渐提高等。在此基础上,本文对中国企业普遍关注的"一带一路"视域下东盟的投资热点行业,如农业、基础设施、采矿、旅游业等进行前景预测。

ASEAN is a major and priority area of the construction of ＂the Belt and Road＂, and also as one of the investment destinations attracts Chinese enterprises. From investors＇ perspectives, this paper adopts PEST analysis framework to explore ASEAN economic and trade market in detail and has found the facts： ASEAN has an overall stable political environment but a poor government efficiency; there are preferential policies and laws related to trade and investment, however, strict control still exist in general; economic development level, industrial structure, consumer preference, religions, ethnics groups, and technology development all have demonstrated that a diversity market has emerged; trade grows steadily and the quality of population has improved gradually. Based on the analysis, the paper finally proposes an outlook prediction on the hot investment industries that Chinese enterprises generally concerned with under the vision of ＂the Belt and Road＂, such as agriculture, infrastructure, mining, and tourism.