负荷预测对分布式能源系统的影响

Effect of Load Forecasting on Distributed Energy System

环境问题日益突出,导致能源系统深层次的改革势在必行。作为一项全新供能模式,分布式能源系统有其自身的优势。但由于现有条件的限制,分布式能源系统未得到广泛应用,其中一个问题是系统设计应用时未进行用户终端负荷的准确预测,负荷设计偏大导致系统常处于低负荷运行状态。本文重点阐述了负荷预测对分布式能源系统的影响。

Since environmental problems became more and more prominent, the deep-level reform of energy system is imperative. As a new type of energy supplying, Distributed Energy System has its own advantages. However, due to the limitation of the existing conditions, the Distributed Energy System has not been widely applied. One of the problems is that the end-user load can＇t be accurately predicted in the application design. Load in design is too large, which results in the low loading operation pattern in the system. This paper mainly expounds the influence of load forecasting on the Distributed Energy System.