基于空间Durbin模型的省域间农业综合生产能力的空间溢出效应研究

SPATIAL SPILLOVER EFFECT RESEARCH OF PROVINCIAL AGRICULTURAL COMPREHENSIVE PRODUCTION CAPACITY BASED ON DURBIN MODEL SPACE

基于我国31省市于2005年-2013年的面板数据,采用空间面板数据模型对各地区的农业综合生产能力的产出效应和空间溢出效应进行了实证研究。结果表明各省市的农业综合生产能力存在空间自相关性,且对数据的分析宜采用空间Drubin模型;各投入要素的空间溢出效应显著,且合理增加农业的从业人员数,加大水利工程建设投入,提高农田灌溉水平和改善农田质量对增加当地农业产出的影响巨大。

Based on 2005 -2013 panel data of our country~ 31 provinces and cities , carried on the empirical research of regional agricultural comprehensive production capacity of the output effect and spatial spillover effect using spatial panel data model. Results show that the comprehensive agricultural production capacity of various provinces and cities exist correlation in space, and the analysis of the data appropriate should use space Drubin model; All inputs of spatial spillover effect significantly, and reasonably increasing agricultural workers and investment of water conservancy project construction, improving the level of farmland irrigation and farmland quality has had a huge impact on increasing local agricultural output.