我国生产性服务业与制造业关系的区域差异研究——基于两部门模型

A Research on the Regional Difference between Productive Service Industry and Manufacturing Industry in China:Based on the Analysis of Dual Sector Model

基于两部门模型,分析工业化不同阶段生产性服务业与制造业发展关系的演变,并对影响我国生产性服务业与制造业发展的因素进行分区域分析,结果表明:我国生产性服务业和制造业的发展关系在不同区域存在显著差异,东部地区的制造业与生产性服务业呈现互动发展关系;中部地区的制造业与生产性服务业的产业关联性较弱,尚未形成互动发展的格局;西部地区的制造业不发达,生产性服务业发展缓慢,两者之间的产业关联效应最低。因此,各区域应根据所处的发展阶段和实际情况采取不同的发展策略:东部地区应充分发挥市场作用,明确政府职能,促进制造业和生产性服务业的融合发展;中部地区应加快制造业的转型升级,优化服务业结构,推进制造业与生产性服务业的互动发展;西部地区应跨越重工业化阶段,着力发展轻工业、生态农业和服务业,建设具有西部特色的以中小城市为主、大城市为辅的城市体系。

Based on the dual sector model,this paper makes an analysis on the evolution of the relationship between the development of productive service industry and manufacturing industry in different stages of industrialization and the influencing factors on the development of these industries in different parts of China. The empirical analysis shows that there is a significant difference in the development of productive service industry and manufacturing industry in different regions. The relationship between productive service industry and manufacturing industry in the eastern region presents interactive development. The relevance between manufacturing and producer services in the central region is comparatively weak,and thus a pattern of interactive development has not yet formed. In the western region,the manufacturing is underdeveloped,the production service is developing slowly,and the correlation between the two industries is very weak. According to the specific stages of development and actual condition of each area,different development strategies should be adopted. In the eastern region,full play should be given to the role of the market,the functions of the government should be clarified,and thus promote the successful fusion of manufacturing and productive services. The central region should accelerate the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry,optimize the structure of the service industry,and promote the interactive development of the manufacturing and productive services. The western region should stride over the stage of heavy industrialization,and lay more stress on the development of light industry,ecological agriculture and services,and therefore build the city system with western characteristics in which small and medium-sized cities play the main part and large cities are as the auxiliary.