新常态下的供给侧改革与中国产业结构升级——基于钻石理论的视角

Reform of Supply-Side and Upgrading of Industrial Structure under New Normal: Based on Perspective of Diamond Theory

供给侧改革意味着中国经济发展理念的重大转变,对提升供给体系的质量和效率以及促进产业结构升级具有重要意义。供给侧改革不排斥需求管理,相反需要需求管理的协同。钻石理论的主要思想有助于应对困扰中国经济的一些突出问题,在供给侧改革中值得借鉴,但不能照搬,应注意与国情相结合。供给侧改革应围绕构建微观动力机制、转变政府职能建设新型"强"政府、化解产能过剩尤其是"隐性"过剩等方面展开,同时要做好需求端的协同,适当扩大总需求,优化需求结构尤其是"三驾马车"自身内部的结构。供给侧改革符合产业结构升级的内在机理,将从根本上内生地促进产业结构升级。

Supply- side reform means great changes in China's economic development idea,and is of great significance to improve the quality and effectiveness of supply system and to promote the upgrading of industrial structure. Supply- side reform doesn't exclude demand management,in contrast,it needs the coordination of demand management. The main idea of diamond theory will help to eliminate some big problems perplexing China's economy. This theory in the supply- side reform is worth learning from,but can not be copied,it should go with the national conditions. Supply- side reform should be bound up to construct a micro dynamic mechanism,to change governments' functions so as to build a new 'strong'government,to resolve the manufacturing overcapacity especially the 'recessive'overcapacity. Meanwhile,it is important that the demand-side should be coordinated,the aggregate demand be expanded properly,the structure of demand especially the internal structure in the three major driving forces of economic growth be optimized. Supply- side reform accords with internal mechanism of the upgrading of industrial structure,and which,fundamentally,will promote the upgrading of industrial structure endogenously.