基于动态贝叶斯博弈的双机行为决策方法

Actions Prediction and Decision Approach for Air Combat Based on Dynamic Game

研究双机对奕对已方完成战斗任务是极为重要的。首先针对双机对弈的作战特点,建立了双机动态博弈的模型,然后对飞机机动过程中的机动能力等级进行了划分,并根据动态贝叶斯博弈模型对双机的收益和损失进行了定量的分析计算。在双机的历史行为序列的基础上通过对纳什均衡求解仿真出动态博弈情况下双机的运动轨迹,同时,研究了误判率对双机动态博弈结果的影响。理论的分析和仿真计算表明,基于动态博弈的双机攻防策略对于改变被动消极的局面从而最大化完成己方目标有着重要的作用。

The study of dual air combat is great important for completing combat mission. According to the char- acters of dual air combat, a dynamic game model is established. Then, the maneuverability of the airplane is assessed and is classified into several levels. The incomes and losses of the members are analyzed quantitatively based on the dynamic game model. The flight trajectories of the airplanes are simulated by a series of maneuver sequences. And then the influence of decision errors is studied. The result indicates that the model can be used to change the negative combat situation and it can also play a great important role to complete the combat mission.