1Krolzig H - M. Markov-Switching Vector Auto regressions: Modelling, Statisitical Inferenceand Application to Business Cycle Analysis [M]. Berlin ; Springer, 1997.
2Kamin Steven B,John W Schindler,Shawna L Samuel. The Contributions of Domestic and External
Factors to Emerging Market Devaluation Crises: An Early Warning Systems Approach[ EB/0 L ].
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Finance Discussion Paper, 2001, No.
711(9).
3Aziz Jahangir,Francesco Caramazza,Ranil Salgado. Currency Crises:In Search of Common Elements
[EB/ 0 L ]. IIMF Working Paper, 2000/67.
4Piard S. Currency Crises in the ERM[D]. PhD thesis, London Guildhall University, 1999.
5Cerra Valerie, Sweta Chaman Saxena. Contagion,Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Id o n e -sia' Currency Crisis[J]. Review of International Economics, 2002, 10(1) ;36 -44.
7NAG A, MITRA A. Neural networks and early warning indicators of currency crisis [ R]. Reserve Bank of India Occasional Papers, 20 (2), 1999.
8ABIAD A. Early warning systems for currency crises: a survey and a regime- switching approach [ R]. Washington: IMF Working Paper 03/32, 2003.
9BERG A, BORENSZTEIN E, PATTILLO C. Assessing early warning systems: how have they worked in practice? [ R]. Washington : IMF Working Paper, WP/04/52, 2004.
10KROLZIG H-M. Markov switching vector autoregressions: modelling, statisitical inference and application to business cycle analysis [ M]. Berlin: Springer, 1997.
